Commerzbank analysts Charlie Lay and Moses Lim argue that the Rupee remains vulnerable to external shocks, notably Middle East tensions, higher energy costs and El Nino-related risks.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) pares some part of earlier losses on Friday as markets seek confirmation of a possible US-Iran agreement, prompting traders to refrain from placing aggressive bearish bets.

ING’s Chris Turner notes that a potential US-Iran peace deal has softened the Dollar, but DXY is still holding firm. He highlights that energy supply losses and inflation risks persist unless Oil flows freely through the Strait of Hormuz.

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists assess how Kevin Warsh may reshape Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad says GBP/USD has given back part of its US-Iran-related gains and is expected to fall to 1.3100 as United States (US) growth outpaces the United Kingdom (UK).

Consumer confidence in the United States (US) improved slightly in June, with the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index rising to 48.9 in the flash estimate from 44.8 in May. This print came in better than the market expectation of 46.

TD Securities economists expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% with a 7-2 vote as Greene joins Pill in calling for a hike. They highlight persistent inflation pressures, upside risks from energy and airfare, and softer demand.

Nomura’s European Economics team, led by Andrzej Szczepaniak and colleagues, notes that the ECB delivered a 25bp hike to a 2.25% depo rate and unveiled more hawkish forecasts.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5830 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.15% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) maintains a firm tone following a series of strong US economic releases.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is weighed down by weaker Oil prices linked to Iran peace hopes, even as improved risk appetite offers some support.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that headlines on a possible end to the US-Iran conflict triggered a risk-on move, helping Central and Eastern European currencies erase recent losses.

EUR/GBP holds firm on Friday, with the Euro (EUR) modestly outperforming the British Pound (GBP) as weak UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data reinforced signs of a slowing economy. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8633, up from an intraday low of 0.8625.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the British Pound (GBP) is consolidating recent gains around 1.3400, with domestic risk elevated ahead of next week’s CPI, labour data and the Bank of England decision.

United States Vice President JD Vance said on Friday that Iran would not receive cash or released funds simply for signing a potential agreement, pushing back against what he described as false information surrounding a possible deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end Iran’s nuclear weapons prog

The Pound Sterling (GBP) turns negative against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after UK data showed the economy contracted in April, while rising prospects of an agreement between the US and Iran improved risk appetite.

A Reuters poll released on Friday found that the Bank of England (BoE) is projected to keep the Bank Rate at 3.75% at the June 18 meeting, based on a survey of 65 economists.

Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $67.50 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.21% on the day. The white metal maintains a positive bias despite improving market sentiment driven by diplomatic progress between the United States (US) and Iran.

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates on Friday as traders await further developments on a potential US-Iran peace deal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,200 after climbing to an intraday high of $4,246 earlier in the day.

The USD/JPY pair trades near the 160.20 region on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains slightly under pressure, while investors prepare for a key central bank week featuring the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy decision and Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting as Chair.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) climbed 0.6% on Friday, settling near 51,200 and outperforming the rest of the US majors on a day when the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into the red.